Sunday, September 06, 2009

Philippine politics just got interesting

whats up with the Mar and Noynoy thing? well, im not that surprised when Mar said he would give up (for the moment) running for the presidency. sure he already spent a lot in terms of money and effort but it wasnt much of a sacrifice for Mar. and my definition of sacrifice is when one has everything to lose and nothing to gain (i think that would be a fitting definition for someone who is hard to please or someone with ridiculously high standards). by not aiming for the presidency and opting to support Noynoy, he has something substantial to gain aside from uniting his party (which is obvious from the public's reaction towards his decision). it wasnt really a loss on his part. well, in a way it was a loss but its also a win. what he did was admirable and it was a very difficult decision to make but it was also very strategic (which is also admirable). thats playing your cards right without allowing one's judgment be clouded by ambition. and Noynoy is also playing it well. not because there's a clamor for him to run doesnt mean he must run.

but, whats interesting to see (interesting for me) is if they can possibly play whatever theyre doing right now in a manner that in the end, Mar will still run for president and Noynoy for VP (not that this is the tandem i want but i just find it interesting if they will pull off something like this. so they arent my candidates for next year's elections. i havent decided yet who im going to vote for next year. its too early to decide). that after Noynoy's reflection, he would decide not to run for president and would rather have Mar do it and he would have his supporters support Mar instead. seeing that he is not that prepared for the highest position in this third world country compared to Mar and based from Mar's willingness to sacrifice his personal ambition, Mar would appear to be more capable to lead this country. so Noynoy would have to sacrifice the collective ambition of his supporters, not lose their support and convert their support in favor of Mar.

But some would argue that Cory Aquino wasnt that prepared to become president when she became president. Noynoy's situation is different. and the times are different. so i think its not appropriate to compare the two. besides, its implying that only another member of the Aquino family can replicate or do what Cory Aquino did. and im digressing. point is, i thought that Noynoy announcing that he wont run for president and would rather settle for VP and would ask Mar to run for president instead was a ridiculous thing for them to do. but then again, i thought if they play it right, if they say the right words to the right people at the right time and induce the right circumstances (which entails a very intricate plan that has to be executed almost flawlessly by very capable people...or simply a group of excellent puppet masters with charming and persuasive marionettes), Noynoy could get his supporters to support Mar for president and Noynoy, by settling for VP would gain some time to prove his worth to those who have doubts about his capacity to lead as President. because i doubt that Noynoy's current supporters would be enough (assuming that he wins for President) to allow Noynoy to run this country for six years as his supporters would want him to run it. sure he is gaining strong and prominent supporters but i think we should look beyond the elections. can these supporters really support Noynoy for six years? can they defend him? or are they willing to defend him in all instances or most instances? as for Mar, i dont think he needs that kind of support beyond the elections. when he decided to run for president, he must have taken everything to consideration already in order to run the country in whatever way he wants to run it. as for Noynoy, does he have enough time to prepare how to run a country? again, there's the argument that Cory didnt plan or wasnt that prepared. but does Noynoy have the same kind of support as Cory? not the same nature, but the same kind. nature and kind are two different things. my point is, i think Noynoy can only run this country as long as he has his supporters and he has capable supporters. look at GMA, she's very unpopular and doesnt have much supporters but she continues to run this country the way she wants to simply because she knows how to stay in power by having a handful of useful and significant supporters. what GMA is doing is not admirable but its disgustingly impressive. Can Noynoy stay in power in case he loses his supporters? an important question would be, why would we want Noynoy to stay in power if he no longer has supporters? well, its one of the challenges every leader of any country should be capable of. ideally, staying in power should be through the support of the citizenry. but i think any one aspiring for the highest position should be prepared and capable of staying in power and finish the term even without supporters as long as there's no better alternative.

and why the hell am i writing about politics? on a sunday! i should be doing something non sensical or reading a book or watching a rented DVD or downloaded sitcom. not in the mood to review on a bar exam day.

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